2024 President: Consensus Electoral Map
As of November 4, 2024
This map tracks the consensus forecast for the 2024 presidential election. It is a composite of ratings by several forecasters.
Only seats rated safe by a large majority of forecasters are shown in the darkest shade of red or blue.
As a result of Census apportionment, some states have a different number of electoral votes in 2024. Use the buttons above the map to see what has changed.
The map is interactive; use it as a starting point to create and share your own 2024 presidential election forecast.
November 4: Arizona Toss-up to Lean Republican; Kansas Safe to Likely Republican.
To compare this map to a map based just on polling, go here >
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Headlines
2026 House Election: Current Consensus by Forecast Type
40 days until the election, quantitative forecasts are leaning more into larger Democratic gains
Overview and Live Results: Delaware Primary
The First State is the last state to hold its party primaries this year. The general election is in seven weeks
Overview and Live Results: Rhode Island Primary
Democrat Dan McKee is likely to be the first elected governor to lose renomination in over a decade
Overview and Live Results: New Hampshire Primary
Races of note include the Democratic primary for U.S. Senate and both party contests in the First Congressional District
New Interactive Maps: FiftyPlusOne Senate and House Forecast
The forecaster's quantitative model projects each party's likelihood of controlling the House and Senate after the midterm elections.
Customize your map by changing one or more states. Return here to share it. Share or Embed your Map: Select 'Share Map' button above. Share or Embed your Map: