Yahoo Finance

Televisa is one of the leading telecommunication firms in Mexico. Its cable arm, Izzi, holds networks that pass nearly 20 million Mexican homes and provide broadband service to 6 million customers. The firm is also one of the largest pay-television providers in Mexico, with 4 million customers. Televisa holds a majority stake in Sky Mexico, the country’s only satellite-TV provider, serving about 5 million customers. Televisa has agreed to buy AT&T's minority stake in Sky. After merging its traditional media business into Univision, Grupo Televisa owns a 45% stake in combined entity TelevisaUnivision. Grupo Televisa spun off several smaller businesses, including magazine publishing, three of Mexico's professional soccer teams, and Stadium Azteca in February 2024 under the name Ollamani.

On Friday, the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) likely will provide continuing evidence that the U.S. job market is healthy. The report will be the first major indicator of 2Q economic activity. It is sure to get extra scrutiny after last week's report on 1Q GDP showed a deceleration in growth to a below-consensus 1.6%, with slower consumer spending. Persistent signs of inflation in the GDP report pushed expectations for rate-relief from the Fed out to September. One reason the April jobs report will be under a microscope was articulated by economist Claudia Sahm in a November 2023 post on the social media site X. "Relatively small increases in the unemployment rate, even starting from low levels, typically signal a recession." That underlies her Sahm Rule recession indicator, which posits that an economy is likely to enter a recession when the three-month average unemployment rate rises by 50 basis points (bps) or more from its prior 12-month low (currently 3.5%). The St. Louis Fed tracks the real-time Sahm Rule on its FRED database. The recession indicator is at 0.30, which is below the critical 0.50. Based on our calculations, unemployment would need to rise to 4.3% to trigger the indicator. While this is well above the 3.8% we expect, the market will be considering future scenarios because the stakes are so high and because Core PCE for March (reported Friday) remained belligerent at 80 basis points above the Fed's 2% inflation target. That could cause the Fed to think twice about preventative stimulus. We expect Friday's employment report to show that April payroll growth moderated to a still-healthy 200,000, from 303,000 in March. We expect that growth in average hourly earnings remained at 4.1%, and average hours worked stayed at 34.2. The best news might be that payrolls remained strong, with softer wage growth cooling inflation fears. The worst news, which we don't expect, would be signs of stagflation -- weak payrolls and accelerating wage growth.

The Vickers Top Insider Picks is a daily report that utilizes a proprietary algorithm to identify 25 companies with compelling insider purchase histories based on transactions over the past three months.

In this edition, setback shouldn't hold back inflation progress; Charter's future quarters look promising; a mixed bag for Roku; and CyberAgent, Keppel REIT, and Melexis.