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Founded in 1921, Denver-based Newmont is the world's largest gold-mining company, with assets and operations in North America, South America, Australia/New Zealand, and Africa. While approximately 88% of its revenues come from gold, the company is also a major producer of copper. The company has about 21,700 employees. It is the only gold producer in the S&P 500.

The "Trump Bump" was fun while it lasted, but stocks imploded after three days as quickly as they exploded. For the major indices, the pullback was not unexpected, this as the S&P 500 (SPX) and the NYSE ran into big psychological resistance (6,000 and 20,000); the market was very overbought on a short-term basis; and the impact of changed government policies are not entirely known and also are months away. As well, the SPX ran right up to significant trendline resistance drawn off the peaks since November 2022, February 2023, July 2023, March 2024, and July 2024. As with most trendlines, this one is not perfect -- but it is still important. On Friday, the SPX bounced off short-term support from its 21-day exponential as well as its recent breakout area. Short-term worries include a bearish signal from the Vortex Indicator and the 21-day rate-of-change reading (which is close to crossing into negative territory). From an intermediate-term basis, the SPX has traced out two weekly bearish divergences for the first time since late 2021, which marked a key market high. The price structure since the August 5 low still appears to be a bearish wedge; to complete the pattern, the index needs to break 5,820 this week. Other near-term support levels include the 50-day at 5,775; minor chart support at 5,700; and the last breakout point and 21-week exponential moving average near 5,650. As we enter the home stretch of 2024, some technical issues bear watching. Seasonal factors are a tailwind for stocks. But everyone knows that -- and there aren't too many bears out there who are still betting against history. (Mark Arbeter, CMT)

Monday Tee Up: Nvidia and Walmart Two giants report earnings this week: Nvidia, providing a benchmark for the growth of AI, and Walmart, shining light on the health of the consumer. The economic calendar is light, though some stats will come in on housing. Meanwhile, Wall Street will continue to evaluate if the Fed is likely to cut interest rates further at their next (and final for 2024) policy meeting next month. Chairman Powell made comments last week suggesting that the Fed is in no hurry to act. The Dow Jones Industrial Average finished the week with a decline of 1.2%, the S&P 500 was lower by 2.1%, and the Nasdaq fell 3.2%. For the year, the Dow is higher by 15%, the S&P is up 23%, and the Nasdaq has popped 24%. The earnings calendar is packed again this week. On Tuesday, Walmart, Lowe's, Medtronic, Spotify, Tyson Foods, and AstraZeneca are among the companies that report. On Wednesday, Nvidia, Snowflake, Palo Alto Networks, Target, TJX, and William-Sonoma. On Thursday, Intuit, Warner Music, The Gap, BJ's, and Deere. So far, 460 of the S&P 500 companies have reported and earnings are coming in 8.8% higher than in the prior-year quarter. Communication Services, up 26%, and Technology, up 17%, are leading. Energy, down 26%, is underperforming. Based on our outlook for continued economic growth through 2025, we have raised our 2025 and 2026 forecasts for S&P 500 earnings from continuing operations. For 2025, we are raising our forecast to $276, from $265. Whereas our prior forecast assumed high-single-digit growth, our revised forecast models full-year EPS growth of 11.8%. For 2026, we are raising our forecast to $307 from a preliminary outlook in the $285 range. Whereas our prior forecast assumed high-single-digit growth, our revised forecast models full-year EPS growth of 11.2%. On the economic calendar, the National Association of Homebuilders Index for November will be released on Monday. Argus' Chief Economist Chris Graja, CFA, is watching the expectations component to see if builders remain optimistic about prospects for the next six months, even as Treasury and mortgage rates have risen. Chris says the traffic component may help us to see how prospective buyers are reacting to the jump in rates. On Tuesday, Housing Starts for October will be released, with a consensus expectation for a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1.34 million. Argus' estimate is 1.29 million. This is an important indicator because it shows whether builders are confident in the economy, future housing conditions, and their ability to move inventory. Affordability remains a big challenge for many buyers. Inflation data from last week was hotter than expected. CPI printed at 2.6% for October, up from 2.4% in September. Core CPI was 3.3%, unchanged from September. Wholesale price indicator PPI also ticked higher. Mortgage rates stayed steady and are at 6.78% for the average 30-year fixed-rate mortgage. Gas prices fell two cents, to $3.10 per gallon for the average price of regular gas. The Atlanta Fed GDPNow indicator is forecasting for 3Q and calls for expansion of 2.5%. The Cleveland Fed CPINow indicator for November is at 2.71%. Looking ahead, the Federal Reserve will make its last interest-rate decision of the year on December 18. Odds are at 62% that there will be another 25 basis-point (bps) rate cut at that meeting (according to the CME FedWatch tool). We agree and also expect three more cuts in 2025, all by 25 bps.

In this edition, a new world of direct indexing and Mass Personalization; Nordson set to capitalize on favorable secular trends; we see Western Union going in right direction; and Monolithic Power Systems, Compass Minerals, and Evotec.