Prediction Markets by Polymarket Get ahead of the curve — our new prediction markets hub lets you tap into the power of collective insight, turning forecasts into your next big competitive advantage.
50+ bps decrease
<1% chance
25 bps decrease
1% chance
No change
98% chance
- How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
0 (0 bps)13% chance1 (25 bps)29% chance2 (50 bps)26% chance - Largest Company end of March?
NVIDIA94% chanceMicrosoft<1% chanceApple4% chance - Fed decision in April?50+ bps decrease2% chance25 bps decrease10% chanceNo change88% chance
- Largest Company end of June?NVIDIA78% chanceMicrosoft<1% chanceApple13% chance
- Fed decisions (Dec-Mar)
Cut–Pause–Pause98% chanceCut–Pause–Cut1% chanceOther<1% chance - 2nd largest company end of March?NVIDIA2% chanceMicrosoft<1% chanceApple82% chance
- Fed rate cut by...?
March Meeting2% chanceApril Meeting15% chanceJune Meeting57% chance - Bank of Japan Decision in March?
Decrease rates<1% chanceNo change97% chance25 bps increase3% chance - Fed Decision in June?50+ bps decrease5% chance25 bps decrease33% chanceNo change58% chance
- Largest Company end of December 2026?NVIDIA59% chanceMicrosoft2% chanceApple16% chance
- What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?
↑ 5.5%3% chance↑ 5.25%2% chance↑ 5.0%3% chance - Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?
5% chance - ECB Interest Rates: March 2026
50+ bps decrease<1% chance25 bps decrease<1% chanceNo change97% chance - Which CEOs will be out before 2027?
Sundar Pichai - Google14% chanceTim Cook - Apple32% chanceDan Clancy - Twitch15% chance - 3rd largest company end of March?NVIDIA2% chanceMicrosoft3% chanceApple19% chance
- February Inflation US - Annual
≤2.1%<1% chance2.2%2% chance2.3%8% chance - US recession by end of 2026?
32% chance - Will USD hit ___ Iranian rials by March 31?
↑ 1.8M20% chance↑ 1.7M34% chance↓ 1.5M79% chance - Bank of England Decision in March?
50+ bps decrease<1% chance25 bps decrease11% chanceNo change88% chance - Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)Cut–Pause–Pause3% chanceCut–Pause–Cut<1% chanceCut–Cut–Pause1% chance
- Will Trump cut off trade with Spain?
4% chance - Bank of Brazil Decision in March?
Increase<1% chanceNo Change9% chanceDecrease91% chance - How high will 10-year Treasury yield go by March 31?
4.4%12% chance4.5%5% chance4.6%2% chance - 2k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in H1 2026?
7% chance
