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Economic News and Analysis

The latest news and analysis about the health of the US economy.

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Oil prices hold over $100 as Middle East conflict rages on: 'A high-stakes stalemate'

Oil prices hold over $100 as Middle East conflict rages on: 'A high-stakes stalemate'

Oil prices held above $100 per barrel on Monday as the Strait of Hormuz remains essentially closed off to through traffic.
Oil price spike likely to keep rates on hold but deepen divisions among Fed officials this week

Oil price spike likely to keep rates on hold but deepen divisions among Fed officials this week

As Federal Reserve officials gather for their two-day policy meeting this week, the oil shock from the Iran war could deepen divisions with the central bank over the path forward on interest rates.
Workers aren't quitting their jobs. Here's why that's a problem for the labor market.

Workers aren't quitting their jobs. Here's why that's a problem for the labor market.

In an economy that's hardly sustaining any payroll growth outside of the healthcare sector, and amid persistent fears of AI-induced layoffs, those with jobs are clinging to them for dear life.
How a drawn-out Middle East war could drag on US consumer spending

How a drawn-out Middle East war could drag on US consumer spending

Higher gas prices for longer could reverberate across the US consumer economy.
Stagflation risks lurked before the Iran war began

Stagflation risks lurked before the Iran war began

Data out Friday showed pricing pressures increasing as the GDP picture worsened. Given this is pre-Iran data, stagflation concerns are rising.
A sticky reading on Fed's favored inflation measure should keep central bank on hold

A sticky reading on Fed's favored inflation measure should keep central bank on hold

A reading on the Federal Reserve's preferred inflation gauge released Friday for January, before the Iran war, showed inflation remained sticky, reinforcing the case for the central bank to hold interest rates steady for now.
Consumer sentiment hits lowest reading of the year in early March amid Middle East war

Consumer sentiment hits lowest reading of the year in early March amid Middle East war

Higher gas prices from the conflict in Iran weighed on Americans' views of the overall economy, according to a preliminary reading of consumer sentiment in March.
Job openings inched up in January, data shows

Job openings inched up in January, data shows

Job openings ticked up in January while layoffs declined, according to government data released Friday.
Fed's top cop previews changes to bank capital requirements to jump-start lending

Fed's top cop previews changes to bank capital requirements to jump-start lending

The Federal Reserve's top regulatory cop previewed changes Thursday to key capital requirements for banks that would reduce their cash cushions by a small amount while still keeping them above the levels set in 2019.
With a cautious eye on oil prices, Fed likely to hold rates next week following February's inflation reading

With a cautious eye on oil prices, Fed likely to hold rates next week following February's inflation reading

The "core" Consumer Price Index shows inflation is moving toward the Federal Reserve’s 2% goal. Still, Fed officials are likely to remain cautious amid uncertainty around oil price swings emanating from the Middle East.