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50+ bps decrease
<1% chance
25 bps decrease
<1% chance
No change
>99% chance
- What price will Bitcoin hit in March?
↑ 150,000<1% chance↑ 110,000<1% chance↑ 105,000<1% chance - What price will Ethereum hit in March?
↑ 4,000<1% chance↑ 3,800<1% chance↑ 3,600<1% chance - Fed decision in April?50+ bps decrease1% chance25 bps decrease3% chanceNo change95% chance
- Which company has the best AI model end of March?
Anthropic93% chanceGoogle4% chanceOpenAI2% chance - What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?↑ 1,000,0002% chance↑ 500,0002% chance↑ 250,0005% chance
- How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
0 (0 bps)23% chance1 (25 bps)30% chance2 (50 bps)23% chance - Bitcoin all time high by ___?March 31, 2026<1% chanceJune 30, 20266% chanceSeptember 30, 202613% chance
- Which company has the second best AI model end of March?Anthropic92% chanceGoogle6% chanceOpenAI1% chance
- Fed decisions (Jan-Apr)
Pause–Pause–Pause95% chancePause–Pause–Cut4% chanceOther2% chance - What price will Solana hit in March?
↑ 160<1% chance↑ 150<1% chance↑ 140<1% chance - Lead Bank in SpaceX’s IPO?
Goldman Sachs56% chanceMorgan Stanley37% chanceBank of America5% chance - What price will XRP hit in March?
↑ 3.20<1% chance↑ 3.00<1% chance↑ 2.80<1% chance - Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
26% chance - What price will Ethereum hit in 2026?↑ 10,0004% chance↑ 8,0005% chance↑ 7,5007% chance
- Crude Oil all time high by March 31?
8% chance - Fed Decision in June?50+ bps decrease4% chance25 bps decrease30% chanceNo change63% chance
- Claude 5 released by…?
March 31, 20266% chanceApril 30, 202621% chance - Databricks IPO Closing Market Cap
<100B<1% chance100–125B<1% chance125–150B1% chance - Largest Company end of June?
NVIDIA83% chanceApple9% chanceAlphabet7% chance - What will Powell say during March Press Conference?
Inflation 40+ times84% chanceInflation 50+ times52% chanceInflation 60+ times26% chance - Which company has the top AI model end of March? (Style Control On)
Anthropic93% chancexAI3% chanceGoogle1% chance - Fed rate cut by...?
March Meeting<1% chanceApril Meeting5% chanceJune Meeting32% chance - DeepSeek V4 released by...?
March 213% chanceMarch 316% chanceApril 1558% chance - Liftoff Mobile IPO Closing Market Cap
<4.25B3% chance4.25B–4.50B3% chance4.50B–4.75B2% chance
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