If the old world order is over, what will rise in its place? In an essay for Foreign Policy’s spring print issue, Hal Brands lays out three scenarios for how countries will navigate competition and cooperation. On this taped edition of FP Live, Brands sat down with FP’s Ravi Agrawal to game out the future of geopolitics and how countries and companies can prepare for it in advance.
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Is America a Rogue State?
Has the United States become a rogue state? FP columnist Stephen Walt certainly thinks so, arguing that the White House is using “positions of leverage built up over decades to exploit allies and adversaries alike.” And the war in Iran, he writes, “underscores that the administration either didn’t understand how its actions would affect other states or simply didn’t care.” If Walt is right, what does it mean for the future of global order? Join FP Live for a discussion about recent U.S. foreign policy and how the world is adapting to the Trump era.
An Iran Hawk on the Cease-Fire
While much of the world has welcomed news of a fragile cease-fire in the Middle East, one group feels the White House pulled out too soon: Iran hawks. John Bolton argues that the administration should have used its military momentum to not only secure maritime trade but also to, once and for all, take out the Iranian regime. Bolton served as national security advisor in the first Trump administration before falling out with the president. Bolton joined FP’s Ravi Agrawal, who has argued Trump is losing the war, for a debate.
The New Geopolitics of Energy
The United States has become the world’s largest producer of both crude oil and natural gas, giving the White House a strong set of cards as it thinks about its foreign policy. But even so, Iran’s blockade of the Strait of Hormuz is driving up the global price of oil, which also hurts U.S. consumers. Why is energy becoming a foreign-policy cudgel, and what can countries do to protect against it? Meghan L. O’Sullivan, author of Windfall: How the New Energy Abundance Upends Global Politics and Strengthens America’s Power, joined FP Live’s Ravi Agrawal to discuss how countries should think about the energy shock caused by the war in Iran.
Iran’s Evolving War Plan
As Israel and the United States continue to pummel targets across Iran and assassinate top leaders, how is the Islamic Republic’s remaining brain trust thinking about its future? How does it define success from this point? What do we know about the views of its next generation of leaders? And what does that portend for the future of the region? FP’s Ravi Agrawal sat down with Ali Vaez, the Iran project director at the Crisis Group, to explore how Tehran will navigate the next few days and weeks of war.
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