Iran War
Analysis, updates, and background.
Tehran Can’t Count on Hormuz
The regime survived, but this doesn’t make it as strong as it thinks.
The Lost Children of Minab
It has been one month since missiles struck a school in the Iranian port town.
Where Do the Gulf States Go From Here?
The U.S. war with Iran has shattered their economic model.
5 Things I Wish I Knew About Iran
In the war’s aftermath, key details about the regime remain opaque.
Trump’s Plans
The Strategic Aftershocks of Trump’s Iran War
The consequences will be felt long after the fighting ends.
What Really Happened in Islamabad—and What Trump Is Trying Now
The president is betting economic pressure can do what bombs couldn’t.
America’s Problem With Diplomacy Predates Trump
Witkoff and Kushner are merely the tip of the iceberg.
How Iran Hawks Are Viewing the Cease-Fire
John Bolton explains why he wishes Trump finished the job.
Energy Shock
The Iran War’s Agriculture Shock Isn’t Over Yet
Even with a cease-fire deal in place, vital energy and fertilizer flows remain trapped.
The Energy Crisis Won’t End Right Away (Even if the Iran War Does)
Even if the cease-fire holds, it will take months to undo the damage.
The Iran War Comes for the ‘King of Chemicals’
The conflict is wreaking havoc on an obscure sector that is more important than you’d think.
This Isn’t a 1970s Oil Shock
The Iran war has disrupted a different, more fragile global energy system.
Iran’s Intentions
What Iran Wants From the War
Coercive bargaining returns to the Persian Gulf.
Iran’s Biggest Wartime Advantage Is Geography
The shape of the war is being determined by the country’s rugged terrain and vast coastline.
Iran’s Escalation Strategy Won’t Work
Tehran’s compulsive gambling has paid off in the past, but this time looks different.
Iran’s Islamic Republic 2.0 is Coming—and It Won’t Be Pretty
How Trump’s tactical victory could turn into a forever war.
Military Strategy
Iran’s Strait of Hormuz Toolkit: Drones, Missiles, and Mines
A breakdown of the tools Iran has to maintain pressure on Trump.
The Drone Attrition Trap
The Middle East conflict shows Washington hasn’t yet learned enough about cheap drones from Kyiv.
America’s War Machine Runs on Tungsten—and It Could Run Out
U.S. operations in Iran risk draining limited U.S. stocks.
Iran and the New Arithmetic of War
Cheap autonomous weapons are overturning the economics of combat—and teaching the United States important lessons.
Israel’s Approach
The U.S. and Israel Aren’t Fighting the Same War
It would be a mistake for Trump to defer to Netanyahu’s regime change fantasies.
Even From Their Bomb Shelters, Most Israelis Support the War on Iran
But a long campaign would be hard to sustain.
Blaming Israel Lets Washington Off the Hook
Joe Kent’s resignation letter mixes fact and fiction to deleterious effect.
The Israel Lobby’s Responsibility for the Iran War
Advocates for the U.S.-Israeli special relationship have played a special role.
Latest Stories
Why Are the Saudis Sitting Out the War With Iran?
A more active approach would help cement Riyadh’s regional clout.
Trump’s Iran War Approaches a Fresh Legal Hurdle
Pressure will increase on congressional Republicans to vote to end the war if it surpasses the legal time limit.
An Economic War of Attrition
The U.S. and Iran have gone from lobbing missiles to inflicting pocketbook pain.
Iran Is Calling the Shots Now
Tehran is following Ho Chi Minh’s playbook in Vietnam.
How Iran and the United States Are Planning Their Next Moves
Karim Sadjadpour on the extended cease-fire and continued blockade of the Strait of Hormuz.
What Happens if the U.S.-Iran Cease-Fire Collapses?
The truce is hanging by a thread despite Trump’s extension.
6 Things I Wish I Knew About the U.S. and Israeli Positions on Iran
Key knowledge gaps make it hard to assess how the war will end.
The U.S. Has Ditched Professional Diplomacy
The first priority is Trump’s image, not national interests.
Russia Is Making Bank on Trump’s Iran War
Pricey oil and sanctions relief mean smiles in Moscow.
Trump’s Awful Week
The U.S. president is picking fights in every direction, alienating key supporters and allies.
Republicans Twiddle Their Thumbs on Iran as Democrats Seethe
Trump’s party is still providing cover on unauthorized war despite growing signs of misgivings.
Cheap Drones Complicate the Gulf’s AI Boom
Protection is becoming inseparable from access.
How to Navigate a Rogue America
Stephen M. Walt’s prescription for anxious countries.
Trump Always Skips the Hard Part
The U.S. president’s half-baked approach to dealmaking may be a recipe for more war.
Europe Is Looking for Its Own Hormuz Fix
The continent has relevant military strengths, but little appetite for fighting.
Keep Humans in the Loop
AI has a place in military targeting—but it needs safeguards.