Iran War

Analysis, updates, and background.

A woman in a black cloak and head covering walks through a dirt area with mounds of earth and some greenery in pots atop gravesites.
A woman in a black cloak and head covering walks through a dirt area with mounds of earth and some greenery in pots atop gravesites.

The Lost Children of Minab

It has been one month since missiles struck a school in the Iranian port town.

A satellite view of Dubai International Airport on March 16 after a drone strike ignited a fuel tank fire, causing global travel disruptions.
A satellite view of Dubai International Airport on March 16 after a drone strike ignited a fuel tank fire, causing global travel disruptions.

Where Do the Gulf States Go From Here?

The U.S. war with Iran has shattered their economic model. This article has an audio recording

A man walks past a banner with pictures of Iran’s slain supreme leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, and his son and successor, Mojtaba Khamenei, along a street in Tehran on April 15.
A man walks past a banner with pictures of Iran’s slain supreme leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, and his son and successor, Mojtaba Khamenei, along a street in Tehran on April 15.

5 Things I Wish I Knew About Iran

In the war’s aftermath, key details about the regime remain opaque.  This article has an audio recording

Trump’s Plans

Protesters stand on an image depicting U.S. President Donald Trump during a gathering to protest the U.S. and Israeli war against Iran, seen in Ankara, Turkey, on March 1.
Protesters stand on an image depicting U.S. President Donald Trump during a gathering to protest the U.S. and Israeli war against Iran, seen in Ankara, Turkey, on March 1.
A police man in a hi-vis vest stands in front of a sign advertising peace talks in Islamabad.
A police man in a hi-vis vest stands in front of a sign advertising peace talks in Islamabad.

What Really Happened in Islamabad—and What Trump Is Trying Now

The president is betting economic pressure can do what bombs couldn’t.

As Steve Witkoff looks on, President Donald Trump speaks during the Republican Members Issues Conference in Miami, Florida, on March 9.
As Steve Witkoff looks on, President Donald Trump speaks during the Republican Members Issues Conference in Miami, Florida, on March 9.

America’s Problem With Diplomacy Predates Trump

Witkoff and Kushner are merely the tip of the iceberg. This article has an audio recording

Former U.S. National Security Advisor John Bolton speaks in Austin, Texas.
Former U.S. National Security Advisor John Bolton speaks in Austin, Texas.

How Iran Hawks Are Viewing the Cease-Fire

John Bolton explains why he wishes Trump finished the job. This article has an audio recording

Energy Shock

A woman cycles past tractors and trucks blocking O’Connell Street in the center of the city, as protests continue for a third day against the rising cost of fuel due to the Middle East crisis, in Dublin, Ireland.
A woman cycles past tractors and trucks blocking O’Connell Street in the center of the city, as protests continue for a third day against the rising cost of fuel due to the Middle East crisis, in Dublin, Ireland.

The Iran War’s Agriculture Shock Isn’t Over Yet

Even with a cease-fire deal in place, vital energy and fertilizer flows remain trapped. This article has an audio recording

A man stands between two tractors, one green and one red, with tires as tall as his shoulders. A spray painted sign at the front of the red tractor says "No fuel, no food." The sky overhead is gray, and midrise buildings are visible across the street.
A man stands between two tractors, one green and one red, with tires as tall as his shoulders. A spray painted sign at the front of the red tractor says "No fuel, no food." The sky overhead is gray, and midrise buildings are visible across the street.

The Energy Crisis Won’t End Right Away (Even if the Iran War Does)

Even if the cease-fire holds, it will take months to undo the damage. This article has an audio recording

A worker loads sulfur at a storage yard on a wharf in Nanjing, China.
A worker loads sulfur at a storage yard on a wharf in Nanjing, China.

The Iran War Comes for the ‘King of Chemicals’

The conflict is wreaking havoc on an obscure sector that is more important than you’d think. This article has an audio recording

Two gas pumps, with "No Gas" written on them, are seen at a gas station in 1974.
Two gas pumps, with "No Gas" written on them, are seen at a gas station in 1974.

This Isn’t a 1970s Oil Shock

The Iran war has disrupted a different, more fragile global energy system. This article has an audio recording

Iran’s Intentions

A motorist rides past models of Iranian missiles installed along the roadside at the Valiasr Square, in Tehran on March 22.
A motorist rides past models of Iranian missiles installed along the roadside at the Valiasr Square, in Tehran on March 22.

What Iran Wants From the War

Coercive bargaining returns to the Persian Gulf.

A satellite view of Iran shows water to the south and north and mountainous terrain.
A satellite view of Iran shows water to the south and north and mountainous terrain.

Iran’s Biggest Wartime Advantage Is Geography

The shape of the war is being determined by the country’s rugged terrain and vast coastline. This article has an audio recording

An Emirates commercial jet flies through a plume of black smoke that covers up much of the sky, with just a few windows of light peeking through.
An Emirates commercial jet flies through a plume of black smoke that covers up much of the sky, with just a few windows of light peeking through.

Iran’s Escalation Strategy Won’t Work

Tehran’s compulsive gambling has paid off in the past, but this time looks different.

A man in a black jacket and beanie walks underneath a banner with an illustration displaying a transfer of the Iranian flag between the three supreme Leaders.
A man in a black jacket and beanie walks underneath a banner with an illustration displaying a transfer of the Iranian flag between the three supreme Leaders.

Iran’s Islamic Republic 2.0 is Coming—and It Won’t Be Pretty

How Trump’s tactical victory could turn into a forever war.

Military Strategy

Missiles produced by Iran's armed forces are displayed near a row of Iranian flags during commemorations to mark the anniversary of the 1979 Iranian Revolution on Feb. 11 in Tehran.
Missiles produced by Iran's armed forces are displayed near a row of Iranian flags during commemorations to mark the anniversary of the 1979 Iranian Revolution on Feb. 11 in Tehran.
Officers in uniform with formal hats stand under a banner with words in Farsi and the image of an unmanned drone.
Officers in uniform with formal hats stand under a banner with words in Farsi and the image of an unmanned drone.

The Drone Attrition Trap

The Middle East conflict shows Washington hasn’t yet learned enough about cheap drones from Kyiv.

About half a dozen U.S. Navy sailors are seen from overhead as they work on what appear to be torpedos or missiles of some sort. The sailors wear bright red uniforms and helmets.
About half a dozen U.S. Navy sailors are seen from overhead as they work on what appear to be torpedos or missiles of some sort. The sailors wear bright red uniforms and helmets.

America’s War Machine Runs on Tungsten—and It Could Run Out

U.S. operations in Iran risk draining limited U.S. stocks. This article has an audio recording

A fireball rises from the site of an Israeli airstrike on Beirut's southern suburbs on March 11.
A fireball rises from the site of an Israeli airstrike on Beirut's southern suburbs on March 11.

Iran and the New Arithmetic of War

Cheap autonomous weapons are overturning the economics of combat—and teaching the United States important lessons.

Israel’s Approach

Trump holds stands near a lectern next to Netanyahu, who has his hand on his podium. Both men are wearing business suits and red ties. The lecterns show the U.S. presidential seal, and behind them are U.S. and Israeli flags.
Trump holds stands near a lectern next to Netanyahu, who has his hand on his podium. Both men are wearing business suits and red ties. The lecterns show the U.S. presidential seal, and behind them are U.S. and Israeli flags.

The U.S. and Israel Aren’t Fighting the Same War

It would be a mistake for Trump to defer to Netanyahu’s regime change fantasies. This article has an audio recording

Two men sit on a mattress on the floor in a corner of a bunker. The older man cradles a young woman who rests her head on his shoulder, whereas a younger man at his side simply stares.
Two men sit on a mattress on the floor in a corner of a bunker. The older man cradles a young woman who rests her head on his shoulder, whereas a younger man at his side simply stares.
Trump and Netanyahu face each other and shake hands while standing near lecterns at the front of a press briefing room. Trump is pointing at Netanyahu's face, while Netanyahu smiles at him.
Trump and Netanyahu face each other and shake hands while standing near lecterns at the front of a press briefing room. Trump is pointing at Netanyahu's face, while Netanyahu smiles at him.

Blaming Israel Lets Washington Off the Hook

Joe Kent’s resignation letter mixes fact and fiction to deleterious effect. This article has an audio recording

Donald Trump addresses the annual policy conference of the American Israel Public Affairs Committee (AIPAC) March 21, 2016 in Washington
Donald Trump addresses the annual policy conference of the American Israel Public Affairs Committee (AIPAC) March 21, 2016 in Washington

The Israel Lobby’s Responsibility for the Iran War

Advocates for the U.S.-Israeli special relationship have played a special role. This article has an audio recording

Latest Stories

Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman attends a meeting with U.S. Secretary of State Mike Pompeo in Jeddah, Saudi Arabia, on Sept. 18, 2019.
Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman attends a meeting with U.S. Secretary of State Mike Pompeo in Jeddah, Saudi Arabia, on Sept. 18, 2019.

Why Are the Saudis Sitting Out the War With Iran?

A more active approach would help cement Riyadh’s regional clout.

Republican Sen. Susan Collins speaks at a hearing inside the Senate Dirksen Office Building.
Republican Sen. Susan Collins speaks at a hearing inside the Senate Dirksen Office Building.

Trump’s Iran War Approaches a Fresh Legal Hurdle

Pressure will increase on congressional Republicans to vote to end the war if it surpasses the legal time limit. This article has an audio recording

A U.S. service member is seen looking out from a vessel at sea at another vessel.
A U.S. service member is seen looking out from a vessel at sea at another vessel.

An Economic War of Attrition

The U.S. and Iran have gone from lobbing missiles to inflicting pocketbook pain.

A young boy stands in front of a white sign that says "NO WAR on children," holding a small Iranian flag and taking a photo with a smartphone. In the background, two large vertical banners display portraits of Iranian leaders against a pale sky.
A young boy stands in front of a white sign that says "NO WAR on children," holding a small Iranian flag and taking a photo with a smartphone. In the background, two large vertical banners display portraits of Iranian leaders against a pale sky.

Iran Is Calling the Shots Now

Tehran is following Ho Chi Minh’s playbook in Vietnam.  This article has an audio recording

A boy stands amid the debris of a destroyed building next to a portrait of Iran’s slain supreme leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, in the Haret Hreik area of Beirut’s southern suburbs in Lebanon.
A boy stands amid the debris of a destroyed building next to a portrait of Iran’s slain supreme leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, in the Haret Hreik area of Beirut’s southern suburbs in Lebanon.

How Iran and the United States Are Planning Their Next Moves

Karim Sadjadpour on the extended cease-fire and continued blockade of the Strait of Hormuz. This article has an audio recording

Supporters of the Houthis in Yemen are seen standing in line and holding weapons.
Supporters of the Houthis in Yemen are seen standing in line and holding weapons.

What Happens if the U.S.-Iran Cease-Fire Collapses?

The truce is hanging by a thread despite Trump’s extension. This article has an audio recording

U.S. President Donald Trump welcomes Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu at the White House in Washington on April 7, 2025.
U.S. President Donald Trump welcomes Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu at the White House in Washington on April 7, 2025.

6 Things I Wish I Knew About the U.S. and Israeli Positions on Iran

Key knowledge gaps make it hard to assess how the war will end.

U.S. Vice President J.D. Vance speaks as negotiators Jared Kushner (far left) and Steve Witkoff react during a news conference after a meeting with representatives from Pakistan and Iran in Islamabad on April 12.
U.S. Vice President J.D. Vance speaks as negotiators Jared Kushner (far left) and Steve Witkoff react during a news conference after a meeting with representatives from Pakistan and Iran in Islamabad on April 12.

The U.S. Has Ditched Professional Diplomacy

The first priority is Trump’s image, not national interests. This article has an audio recording

Russian President Vladimir Putin takes part via videoconference from Moscow.
Russian President Vladimir Putin takes part via videoconference from Moscow.

Russia Is Making Bank on Trump’s Iran War

Pricey oil and sanctions relief mean smiles in Moscow. This article has an audio recording

U.S. President Donald Trump speaks to the press outside the Oval Office at the White House in Washington on April 13.
U.S. President Donald Trump speaks to the press outside the Oval Office at the White House in Washington on April 13.

Trump’s Awful Week

The U.S. president is picking fights in every direction, alienating key supporters and allies.

U.S. Republican Senate Majority Leader John Thune speaks at a podium inside the U.S. Capitol while surrounded by reporters and other Republican senators in his leadership team.
U.S. Republican Senate Majority Leader John Thune speaks at a podium inside the U.S. Capitol while surrounded by reporters and other Republican senators in his leadership team.

Republicans Twiddle Their Thumbs on Iran as Democrats Seethe

Trump’s party is still providing cover on unauthorized war despite growing signs of misgivings. This article has an audio recording

A view of the Dubai skyline shows a black cloud of smoke rising from a fire below.
A view of the Dubai skyline shows a black cloud of smoke rising from a fire below.

Cheap Drones Complicate the Gulf’s AI Boom

Protection is becoming inseparable from access.

U.S. President Donald Trump pumps his fist to the crowd at a rally with U.S. Army troops at Fort Bragg, North Carolina.
U.S. President Donald Trump pumps his fist to the crowd at a rally with U.S. Army troops at Fort Bragg, North Carolina.

How to Navigate a Rogue America

Stephen M. Walt’s prescription for anxious countries. This article has an audio recording

Trump stands on a tarmac with his arms out wide and eyes closed.
Trump stands on a tarmac with his arms out wide and eyes closed.

Trump Always Skips the Hard Part

The U.S. president’s half-baked approach to dealmaking may be a recipe for more war. This article has an audio recording

France's President Emmanuel Macron speaks next to France's Prime Minister Sebastien Lecornu and France's Defence Minister Catherine Vautrin during a national defense council meeting on Middle East war at the Elysee Palace in Paris on March 17, 2026.
France's President Emmanuel Macron speaks next to France's Prime Minister Sebastien Lecornu and France's Defence Minister Catherine Vautrin during a national defense council meeting on Middle East war at the Elysee Palace in Paris on March 17, 2026.

Europe Is Looking for Its Own Hormuz Fix

The continent has relevant military strengths, but little appetite for fighting.

A woman passes an art installation featuring portraits of some of the school girls killed in an apparent U.S. strike in February, in Tehran.
A woman passes an art installation featuring portraits of some of the school girls killed in an apparent U.S. strike in February, in Tehran.

Keep Humans in the Loop

AI has a place in military targeting—but it needs safeguards. This article has an audio recording

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