Statistical Thinking News

Published

March 28, 2026

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Frank Harrell, Editor

March 2026

Recent Topics in datamethods.org

April 2023

Response Heterogeneity by Darren Dahly

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Bust size and hitchhiking author earns five expressions of concern

Sample Size Needed for Prior Insensitivity by FE Harrell; An alternate approach to sample size calculations: solving for \(n\) such that posterior probabilities of efficacy from different priors are virtually the same

March 2023

Thinking About Statistical Modeling, Overfitting, and Generalization Error by Andrew Gelman

On the Limited Value of Randomization by Lars Pålsson Syll [Editor’s note: I disagree with most of the ideas in this post including those from famed statistician David Freedman, but I thought it’s worth reading]

Long COVID Comes Into the Light by Jeff Wise

Improving the Efficiency of Trials Via Linear Adjustment For a Prognostic Score - Bartlett

Minimal Detectable Change vs. MCID

Common Statistical Myths

PNAS Is Not a Good Journal, and the Decline Effect - Moin Syed

Absence of Evidence is Not Evidence of Absence by Jay Brophy [offers a nice Bayesian perspective]

Using AI To Make Teaching Easier & More Impactful by Ethan Mollick

Relevance of Prognostic Information for Clinical Trials - Siegfried, Senn, Hothorn

One Article That Won’t Be Making Any Top 50 Papers List

Everybody’s Back Yard - Dahly

The Problem of Old Evidence - Wagenmakers

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Prior to March 2023

Archive

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